Today's Playbook - Blue Line Morning Express


E-mini S&P (March)

Yesterdays close:Settled at 2632, down 39.50

Fundamentals:U.S benchmarks made a U-turn ahead of the close yesterday and have grinded higher into this morning. The S&P was down as much as 2% when White House chief economic advisor Larry Kudlow, the spin doctor, stopped the bleeding late in the session with positive comments on trade confirming next weeks fresh round of talks with China in Washington. It was reported earlier that the White House rejected Chinas preliminary offer from Friday to eliminate the trade balance over six years. The idea that the meeting itself was cancelled never gained traction. Although Kudlow provided absolutely nothing new, his upbeat comments reinvigorated the tape. The real boost came from the latest instance of false reporting minutes later. The New York Times essentially reported the imminence of a Senate funding bill being passed. Price action ripped 10 points into the close before it became clearer that the Senate will vote on two separate funding bills tomorrow, one from the Republicans and one from the Democrats, more or less as a formality with little or no hope of being passed. The reaction to headlines late last week and yesterday in both directions goes to show you how fickle this market is.

Earnings yesterday morning weighed on the tape into the afternoon but an initially negative reaction to IBM after the bell turned positive as the evening unfolded, it is up more than 6% this morning. Comcast, Procter & Gamble and United Technologies reported this morning and are up 4%, 3.5% and 3.3% respectively. The headline flow followed by strong earnings has brought a positive wave of sentiment at the onset of U.S hours.

Technicals:The S&P finds itself right in the middle of the range from Fridays high to yesterdays low. First key resistance comes in at 2647.25, exactly the 50% retracement. Above here, we have two waves of major three-star resistance, the first comes in at ...Please sign up for a Free Trial at Blue Line Futures to view our entire technical outlook and proprietary bias and levels.

Crude Oil (March)

Yesterdays close:Settled at 53.01, down 1.03

Fundamentals:Yesterdays selling in Crude hit its pinnacle at 9:00 am CT and price action began consolidating higher before getting a boost from comments out of the White House on U.S and China trade relations. The broader risk-appetite expanded and led Crude Oil about 3% from yesterdays early low. Overnight, China announced it will increase fiscal spending in order to counter slowing growth. This provided the latest leg which has stalled this morning after reports that Russias production has inched higher in the second half of the month from 11.38 mbpd to 11.39 mbpd. Remember, in the face of growing U.S inventories, Crude has rallied with OPEC jawboning playing a big role. In 2018, Russian production averaged 11.16 mbpd, in November it stood at 11.37 mbpd and in December it jumped to 11.45 mbpd. This is a slight pullback, but from what level? The pump-all-they-can level from December? At the very least, it will be interesting to see how this plays out amongst the OPEC and non-OPEC alliance over the coming weeks.

Technicals:Yesterdays drop tested down to key support at ...Please sign up for a Free Trial at Blue Line Futures to view our entire technical outlook and proprietary bias and levels.

Gold (February)

Yesterdays close:Settled at 1283.4, up 0.8

Fundamentals:Gold continues to show vulnerability as the Dollar holds ground and Treasury yields uptick on equity market strength and a more favorable global sentiment this morning. All things considered, Gold has overall held ground extremely well and this pullback was expected. The brightest spot was seen yesterday when Gold did respond to unfavorable risk sentiment and equity market weakness; great to get a confirmation that the metal performs when it is supposed to. On another positive note, the Chinese Yuan has strengthened this morning which is seen as supportive to Gold. We remain unequivocally bullish Gold, however, prepared to see lower price action discussed in the technical section below.

Technicals:We have pounded the table on capitalizing on recent strength in order to welcome potential weakness. That weakness is beginning to arrive, and price action is battling at first key support at ...Please sign up for a Free Trial at Blue Line Futures to view our entire technical outlook and proprietary bias and levels.


Sign up for 1 or all 5 of our Blue Line Express commodity reports!

Free Trial

Please do not hesitate to contact us with any questions on the markets, trading, or opening an account

Info@BlueLineFutures.com

312-278-0500

Follow us on Twitter:@BlueLineFutures

Follow us on Facebook:Blue Line Futures Facebook page

Subscribe to our YouTube channel:Blue Line Futures YouTube channel


Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.